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Current Win Probability
Magesi 37.3%
Draw 33.1%
Durban City 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
32.5%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
31.5%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Magesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magesi's performance.
Durban City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Durban City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magesi than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magesi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durban City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Magesi - Durban City Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Magesi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Durban City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Chipezeze E. (C) 50. Ndlozi S. 49. Mofokeng D. 34. Mokone L. 11. Nyama T. 5. Mariba K. 10. Vandala M. 26. Mtshali L. 15. Masegela T. 2. Mashigo T. 39. Luthuli S.
1. Keet D. (G) 2. Jalai E. 5. Ncanana S. (C) 30. Mkhize M. 4. Gcaba F. 10. Maseko S. 17. Jurgens K. 18. Poggenpoel B. 11. Magawana S. 20. Lwamba J. 35. Sifumba L.
Substitutes
21. Chirambadare E. 4. Makgoga T. 35. Matima M. 8. Mokone J. M. 40. Mosadi K. 7. Muvhango K. 38. Seseane A. 37. Sibanyoni T. 24. Tshabalala M. (G)
33. Asare F. (G) 22. De Kock L. 7. Domingo H. 27. Goedeman T. 14. Kamatuka J. 19. Koapeng L. 9. Mahlangu S. 3. Mthembu B. 26. Nodada T.
Coaches
Freese A.
Dladla S. P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Vandala M. ⚽, Mariba K. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Lwamba J. ⚽, Maseko S. (A),
14', 2 - 1, Mashigo T. ⚽,
19', 3 - 1, Mokone L. ⚽, Luthuli S. (A),
27', 3 - 2, Lwamba J. ⚽, Mkhize M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nyama T. ↓, Mokone J. M. ↑,
54', Sifumba L. ↓, Domingo H. ↑,
64', Masegela T. 🟨,
64', Keet D. 🟨,
65', 4 - 2, Mariba K. ⚽,
68', Mashigo T. ↓, Chirambadare E. ↑,
68', Masegela T. ↓, Matima M. ↑,
78', 5 - 2, Vandala M. ⚽, Luthuli S. (A),
79', Mkhize M. ↓, Mthembu B. ↑,
79', Magawana S. ↓, Koapeng L. ↑,
84', Luthuli S. ↓, Sibanyoni T. ↑,
84', Ndlozi S. ↓, Seseane A. ↑,
88', Gcaba F. 🟨,
89', Jurgens K. ↓, Goedeman T. ↑,
89', Lwamba J. ↓, Kamatuka J. ↑,
90+2', Ncanana S. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship and 6).
Magesi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Durban City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Durban City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Magesi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Including home match between the teams, Magesi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Durban City
7
1
4
2
4:5
-1
7
Last Results with these Odds
Durban City - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.29%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.