Match Info

Botola Pro - Round 28

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Complexe sportif de Fès (Fès)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	SNRT Live


	Maghreb Fez		Jeunesse Sportive Soualem

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.73	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.35	4.4
	1.89	3.37	4.37
	1.77	3.35	4.46	Watch
	1.76	3.34	4.67	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.46)	3.31 ↓ (3.83)	4.4 ↓ (6.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maghreb Fez
51.4%

Draw
27.7%

Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

23.8%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

21%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maghreb Fez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maghreb Fez's form might have worsened.

Jeunesse Sportive Soualem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jeunesse Sportive Soualem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maghreb Fez than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Sportive Soualem than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jeunesse Sportive Soualem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maghreb Fez - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Chihab S. (C) 14. Ahadad H. 27. Brija E. 5. Chabani A. 32. El Jabali D. 3. Hamadi Z. 2. Hamza A. 8. Harmach A. 4. Khorsa S. 15. Mhannaoui R. 29. Seakanyeng K.	16. Bellarabi M. (G) 15. Assouab J. (C) 6. Bentagana A. 90. Cherrad A. 34. El Keraa K. 8. Hmaidou A. 4. Khallati M. 97. Lakhlifi A. 13. Ouhrou M. 77. Sakhi Y. 26. Sellak A.
Substitutes
7. El Badoui M. 1. El Ichaoui H. (G) 22. Guei S. 23. Guessous N. 20. Hmamouchi M. 36. Khalifi A. 28. Laghzali I. 6. Mestari S. 55. Moulhami A.	5. Alaoui H. 29. Boutayeb O. 24. Chouikh I. 64. Doughmi H. (G) 93. El Ouassli Z. 59. Essafi O. 10. Hasty A. 28. Lagrouch K. 20. Razko T.
Coaches
Stipic T.	El Haimeur R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Bellarabi M. 🟨,
27', El Jabali D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Brija E. ⚽,
55', Brija E. 🟨,
59', Sakhi Y. ↓, Lagrouch K. ↑,
61', Hamza A. ↓, Guei S. ↑,
71', Cherrad A. ↓, Razko T. ↑,
71', Khallati M. ↓, Essafi O. ↑,
79', Bentagana A. ↓, El Ouassli Z. ↑,
79', El Keraa K. ↓, Boutayeb O. ↑,
83', Hmaidou A. 🟨,
84', Brija E. ↓, El Badoui M. ↑,
84', Ahadad H. 🟨,
85', Ahadad H. ↓, Moulhami A. ↑,
85', Lakhlifi A. 🟨,
90', Guei S. 🟨,
90+3', Hamadi Z. ↓, Mestari S. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, El Badoui M. ⚽, Seakanyeng K. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Botola Pro (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maghreb Fez won 2.

Maghreb Fez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Soualem's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Maghreb Fez has had a series of away games.

In this match, Maghreb Fez is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maghreb Fez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Maghreb Fez won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maghreb Fez
Moroccan Botola
23.04.25	Renaissance Zemamra - Maghreb Fez	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Maghreb Fez - FUS Rabat	1:0 ✺
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
26.03.25	FAR Rabat - Maghreb Fez	2:1 ✺
Moroccan Excellence Cup
19.03.25	Berkane - Maghreb Fez	3:3 ✺
Moroccan Botola
14.03.25	FAR Rabat - Maghreb Fez	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLTL
- Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
Moroccan Botola
23.04.25	FAR Rabat - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Renaissance Zemamra	0:1 ✺
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
05.04.25	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Olympic Safi	1:2 penalties ✺
26.03.25	Chabab Benguérir - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	1:3 ET ✺
Moroccan Excellence Cup
20.03.25	Wydad Casablanca - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
08.12.24	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Maghreb Fez	0:2
20.02.24	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Maghreb Fez	1:1
01.10.23	Maghreb Fez - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	3:0
26.02.23	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Maghreb Fez	1:1
17.09.22	Maghreb Fez - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	0:1
11.02.22	Maghreb Fez - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	0:0
18.09.21	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Maghreb Fez	3:0

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