Match Info

ALGERIA: Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Boucheligue Brothers Stadium (Magra)


	Magra		El Bayadh

	1	X	2
	1.73	2.87	5
	1.55	3.45	6.8
	1.59	3.34	7.43	Watch
	1.57	3.25	7.5
	1.58	3.52	6.47
	1.55	3.45	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)	3.31 ↑ (3.06)	6.67 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magra
58.1%

Draw
28%

El Bayadh
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

30.3%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

30.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magra's performance.

El Bayadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Bayadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magra than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Bayadh than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Bayadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Magra - El Bayadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Magra will win (votes: 3 - 75%). El Bayadh will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Benchlef I. (G)
8. Baaziz K.
18. Bekakchi I.
28. Berkane M.
9. Bouzekri M.
11. Demane H. (C)
20. El Welly Y.
6. Kemoukh Z.
4. Lakehal C.
3. Marouani M.
5. Merouani M.
Substitutes
. Agour
12. Ammar O. A.
21. Benmessabih M.
1. Cherif M. (G)
. Demane A.
10. Djabout A.
. Gido
19. Harrari I. S. E.
. Zaitri Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 10).

Magra is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

El Bayadh is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

El Bayadh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently El Bayadh have a series of home games.

In this match Magra is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magra won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Magra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NC Magra
Algerian Ligue 1
07.03.25	Biskra - Magra	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Magra - ES Sétif	0:0 ✺
18.02.25	USM Alger - Magra	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Magra - Olympique Akbou	1:1 ✺
Algerian Cup
10.02.25	USM Alger - Magra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLTL
- MC El Bayadh
Algerian Cup
11.03.25	El Bayadh - Olympique Akbou	1:0 penalties ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
06.03.25	El Bayadh - Belouizdad	0:0 ✺
27.02.25	El Bayadh - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Biskra - El Bayadh	0:0 ✺
11.02.25	El Bayadh - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
19.10.24	El Bayadh - Magra	4:0
05.04.24	El Bayadh - Magra	0:2
24.11.23	Magra - El Bayadh	1:1
18.05.23	El Bayadh - Magra	1:0
15.10.22	Magra - El Bayadh	1:0

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