Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 23

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Boucheligue Brothers Stadium (Magra) 🌤️ ...


	Magra		Saoura

	1	X	2
	1.7	3	5
	1.68	3.2	5.6
	1.65	3.4	6.5
	1.67	3.23	6.33	Watch
	1.8	3	5
	1.65	3.32	5.7
	1.68	3.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.44)	3.19 ↓ (4)	5.68 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magra
54.7%

Draw
29%

Saoura
16.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.2%

22.4%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

22.7%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Magra's form might have worsened.

Saoura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magra than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Magra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saoura than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Magra - Saoura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cherif M. (G) 28. Berkane M. 25. Bouhakak K. 9. Bouzekri M. 10. Djabout A. 14. Hadded F. 6. Kemoukh Z. 4. Lakehal C. 3. Marouani M. 5. Merouani M. 21. Sheikh Y.	16. Haouli M. (G) 2. Akecem R. 37. Allaoui K. 9. Bedi G. 7. Belmiloud K. 25. Bouchiba A. 6. Brahimi R. 20. Matallah S. 15. Saadi I. 27. Taib M. 13. Zaalani N.
Substitutes
23. Amrane F. 8. Baaziz K. 18. Bekakchi I. 24. Belkacemi A. 16. Benchlef I. (G) 22. Benmessabih M. 11. Demane H. 19. Harrari I. S. E. 20. Zaitri Z.	17. Amrane M. 21. Bentaleb O. 5. Boutiche A. 10. Fettouhi N. 14. Haddouche I. F. 12. Morcely A. (G) 18. Oukaci J. 11. Souibaa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Djabout A. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magra won 2.

Magra is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Saoura is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Magra is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Magra won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5:13 (average 0.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Magra won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NC Magra
Algerian Ligue 1
12.04.25	Magra - Khenchela	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Belouizdad - Magra	4:0 ✺
16.03.25	Magra - El Bayadh	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Biskra - Magra	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Magra - ES Sétif	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLT
- JS Saoura
Algerian Ligue 1
10.04.25	Saoura - Belouizdad	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	El Bayadh - Saoura	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Saoura - Biskra	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	ES Sétif - Saoura	1:0 ✺
27.02.25	Saoura - Olympique Akbou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
09.11.24	Saoura - Magra	1:0
11.05.24	Magra - Saoura	1:0
16.12.23	Saoura - Magra	2:1
18.04.23	Saoura - Magra	2:0
24.09.22	Magra - Saoura	1:0
17.04.22	Magra - Saoura	0:0
24.12.21	Saoura - Magra	1:0

Magra - Saoura