Match Info

Algeria Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Boucheligue Brothers Stadium (Magra) 🌤️ ...


	Magra		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	3.95	2.88	1.95
	3.3	2.91	2.17
	3.85	2.61	2.25	Watch
	3.7	2.75	2.1
	4.36	2.85	1.92
	3.75	3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (5.97)	2.83 ↓ (3.12)	2.07 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magra
23.8%

Draw
32.1%

USM Alger
44.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.1%

29%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

28%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magra's performance.

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USM Alger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magra than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USM Alger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Magra - USM Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. USM Alger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magra won 0.

Recent performances by Magra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

USM Alger is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, USM Alger is the obvious favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Magra won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Magra won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

USM Alger - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 55.89%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NC Magra
Algerian Ligue 2
29.11.25	Teleghma - Magra	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Magra - Biskra	0:1 ✺
18.11.25	CA Batna - Magra	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Magra - MO Constantine	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	MO Béjaïa - Magra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TLTWW
- USM Alger
CAF Confederation Cup
28.11.25	Olympic Safi - USM Alger	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	USM Alger - San-Pédro	3:2 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
17.11.25	Mostaganem - USM Alger	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Belouizdad - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	USM Alger - ASO Chlef	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
18.02.25	USM Alger - Magra	2:0
Algerian Cup
10.02.25	USM Alger - Magra	1:0
Algerian Ligue 1
28.09.24	Magra - USM Alger	0:0
14.06.24	Magra - USM Alger	2:3
28.01.24	USM Alger - Magra	3:1
04.07.23	USM Alger - Magra	0:0
29.11.22	Magra - USM Alger	1:1

Magra - USM Alger