Match Info

National League - Round 4

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday

Location: Thuwunna Stadium (Yangon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malaysia	Pyone Play


	Mahar United		Rakhine United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	5.11	5.3
	1.20	7.59	8.18	Watch
	1.34	5.15	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	5.95 ↑ (4.83)	6.59 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mahar United
70.4%

Draw
15.6%

Rakhine United
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.7%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mahar United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mahar United's performance.

Rakhine United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mahar United - Rakhine United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Gilles P. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Yan Htoo Wai ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Djidjiwa M. ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, Gilles P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 3 - 2, Win K. K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mahar United won 3.

In this match, Mahar United is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mahar United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mahar United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mahar United
Myanmar National League
12.09.25	Mahar United - Yarmanya United	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Yadanarbon - Mahar United	3:2 ✺
Myanmar MNL League Cup
14.06.25	Mahar United - Ayeyawady United	0:1 ✺
16.05.25	Mahar United - Yangon United	2:6 ✺
29.04.25	Kachin United - Mahar United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLW
- Rakhine United
Myanmar National League
14.09.25	Shan United - Rakhine United	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Yangon United - Rakhine United	5:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rakhine United - Hanthawaddy United	1:2 ✺
Myanmar MNL League Cup
19.06.25	Rakhine United - Ayeyawady United	0:3 ✺
15.06.25	ISPE - Rakhine United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
05.11.24	Mahar United - Rakhine United	5:1
20.07.24	Rakhine United - Mahar United	1:4
16.07.23	Rakhine United - Mahar United	1:3
22.02.23	Mahar United - Rakhine United	0:0
31.10.22	Mahar United - Rakhine United	1:3
22.08.22	Rakhine United - Mahar United	1:2
07.09.20	Mahar United - Rakhine United	0:1

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