Match Info

National League - Round 22

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Malaysia	MRTV 4, Pyone Play


	Mahar United		Ayeyawady United

	1	X	2
	3.36	4.86	1.68
	3.33	4.93	1.7	Watch
	3.6	4.2	1.65
	3.49	4.55	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.72)	4.64 ↑ (3.56)	1.68 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mahar United
26.3%

Draw
19.6%

Ayeyawady United
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

25.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

24.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mahar United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mahar United's form might have worsened.

Ayeyawady United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ayeyawady United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahar United than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mahar United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayeyawady United than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ayeyawady United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mahar United - Ayeyawady United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Gilles P. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Thiha ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Gilles P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mahar United won 2.

Mahar United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ayeyawady United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Mahar United has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mahar United won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 1.2:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mahar United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.3:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Mahar United	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
6	Ayeyawady	2	1	0	1	2:6	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mahar United
Myanmar National League
12.03.26	Shan United - Mahar United	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Dagon - Mahar United	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Mahar United - Yangon United	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Hanthawaddy United - Mahar United	0:0 ✺
10.02.26	Rakhine United - Mahar United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTT
- Ayeyawady United
Myanmar National League
13.03.26	Ayeyawady United - Yarmanya United	5:0 ✺
05.03.26	Yadanarbon - Ayeyawady United	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Thitsar Arman - Ayeyawady United	0:0 ✺
19.02.26	Ayeyawady United - Rakhine United	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ayeyawady United - Dagon Port	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
03.11.25	Ayeyawady United - Mahar United	1:2
Myanmar MNL League Cup
14.06.25	Mahar United - Ayeyawady United	0:1
Myanmar National League
23.11.24	Ayeyawady United - Mahar United	3:1
20.09.24	Mahar United - Ayeyawady United	2:0
28.07.23	Ayeyawady United - Mahar United	2:2
15.03.23	Mahar United - Ayeyawady United	2:1
03.10.22	Ayeyawady United - Mahar United	6:1

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