Match Info

National League - Round 16

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Mahar United		Thitsar Arman

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.85	2.62
	2.02	3.8	2.52
	2.17	4.02	2.61	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.63
	2.06	3.9	2.78	Watch
	2	4.2	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.87)	3.88 ↓ (4.05)	2.65 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mahar United
43%

Draw
23.1%

Thitsar Arman
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

22.2%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

21.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mahar United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mahar United's form might have worsened.

Thitsar Arman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahar United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mahar United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thitsar Arman than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thitsar Arman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mahar United - Thitsar Arman Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Lin K. Z. (Penalty Awarded),
26', 1 - 1, Zaw Saw Myo ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Aung Shine Wanna ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 3, Oo Min Maw ⚽,
54', 2 - 3, Naing T. S. ⚽,
82', 3 - 3, Gilles P. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 9).

Mahar United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Thitsar Arman has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mahar United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Thitsar Arman has had a series of away games.

Mahar United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mahar United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Mahar United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Mahar United	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
7	Thitsar Arman	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mahar United
Myanmar National League
28.01.26	Yarmanya United - Mahar United	2:4 ✺
23.01.26	Mahar United - ISPE	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Dagon Port - Mahar United	4:4 ✺
13.01.26	Mahar United - Yadanarbon	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Yangon United - Mahar United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTWL
- Thitsar Arman
Myanmar National League
30.01.26	Yadanarbon - Thitsar Arman	1:3 ✺
22.01.26	Rakhine United - Thitsar Arman	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Shan United - Thitsar Arman	5:2 ✺
11.01.26	Thitsar Arman - Hanthawaddy United	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Ayeyawady United - Thitsar Arman	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
29.09.25	Thitsar Arman - Mahar United	3:0
28.02.25	Thitsar Arman - Mahar United	3:3
19.08.24	Mahar United - Thitsar Arman	4:1

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