Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium (Maha Sarakham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Mahasarakham		Chainat

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.22
	2.33	3.49	2.66	Watch
	2.32	3.5	2.6
	1.88	3.65	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.32)	3.51 ↑ (3.35)	3.22 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mahasarakham
44.9%

Draw
26.4%

Chainat
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.1%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mahasarakham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mahasarakham's performance.

Chainat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Mahasarakham - Chainat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Chainat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mahasarakham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Mahasarakham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mahasarakham FC
Thai League 2
11.10.25	Mahasarakham - Kasetsart	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Sisaket United - Mahasarakham	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mahasarakham - Chanthaburi	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bangkok FC - Mahasarakham	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Mahasarakham - Phrae United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTTT
- Chainat FC
Thai League 2
05.10.25	Chainat - Phrae United	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Chiangmai United - Chainat	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Chainat - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kasetsart - Chainat	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Chainat - Rasisalai United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
22.02.25	Chainat - Mahasarakham	0:0
27.10.24	Mahasarakham - Chainat	1:0

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