The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chiangmai United 35.7%
Draw 29.5%
Chainat 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
26%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
26.5%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiangmai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chiangmai United's form might have worsened.
Chainat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chainat's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangmai United than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chiangmai United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chainat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chiangmai United - Chainat Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Chainat (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chainat (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Nantavichianrit K. (Own goal),
20', 1 - 1, Mermoz A. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Sophajan T. ⚽,
26', 2 - 2, Koudakpo A. ⚽,
32', 3 - 2, Noisri W. ⚽,
42', 3 - 3, Phrueksupee P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 3 - 4, Amarildo (Pen),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiangmai United won 1.
Chiangmai United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chainat is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Chainat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Chiangmai United might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chiangmai United won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Chiangmai United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).