Match Info

Thai League 2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Lampang Stadium (Lampang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 5


	Mahasarakham		Kanchanaburi

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.25	3.3	2.85
	2.33	2.99	2.92
	2.22	3.27	3.02	Watch
	2.25	3.24	2.9
	2.25	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)	3.23 ↓ (3.26)	2.88 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mahasarakham
40.4%

Draw
28.1%

Kanchanaburi
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.1%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mahasarakham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Kanchanaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Mahasarakham - Kanchanaburi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Kim Joo-chan ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Kim Joo-chan ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Samphaodi C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 3 - 1, Capistrano J. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Mara M. (Pen),
90+5', 3 - 3, Samphaodi C. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg./

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mahasarakham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mahasarakham could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mahasarakham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Mahasarakham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mahasarakham FC
Thai League 2
20.04.25	Mahasarakham - Kanchanaburi	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Suphanburi - Mahasarakham	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Mahasarakham - Nakhon Si United	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Police Tero - Mahasarakham	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Mahasarakham - Kasetsart	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTTT
- Kanchanaburi FC
Thai League 2
26.04.25	Kanchanaburi - Lampang	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Mahasarakham - Kanchanaburi	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Kanchanaburi - Phrae United	2:3 ✺
03.04.25	Bangkok FC - Kanchanaburi	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Kanchanaburi - Ayutthaya United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
20.04.25	Mahasarakham - Kanchanaburi	2:2
22.12.24	Kanchanaburi - Mahasarakham	2:3

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