Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 17

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium (Maha Sarakham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Mahasarakham		Rasisalai United

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	2.62
	2.38	3.15	2.72
	2.4	3.31	2.67	Watch
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.36	3.13	2.71
	2.36	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.99)	3.15 ↓ (3.6)	2.7 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mahasarakham
37.9%

Draw
28.6%

Rasisalai United
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

25.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mahasarakham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mahasarakham's form might have worsened.

Rasisalai United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mahasarakham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rasisalai United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rasisalai United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mahasarakham - Rasisalai United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Lwin M. A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Gilberto Macena ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 3, Moreira A. ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1).

Recent performances by Mahasarakham have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rasisalai United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mahasarakham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mahasarakham could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mahasarakham FC
Thai League 2
06.12.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Mahasarakham	0:1 ✺
03.12.25	Mahasarakham - Trat	5:1 ✺
30.11.25	Mahasarakham - Pattani	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Mahasarakham - Police Tero	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Pattaya United - Mahasarakham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW
- Rasisalai United
Thai League 2
07.12.25	Rasisalai United - Chiangmai United	1:0 ✺
04.12.25	Phrae United - Rasisalai United	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Rasisalai United - Kasetsart	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Khonkaen United - Rasisalai United	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Rasisalai United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWTW

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