Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium (Maha Sarakham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Mahasarakham		Police Tero

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.15	3
	2.18	3.08	3.15
	2.18	3.25	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.97)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	3.04 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mahasarakham
41.6%

Draw
28.7%

Police Tero
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.4%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

28.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mahasarakham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Police Tero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mahasarakham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Mahasarakham - Police Tero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Wellington Smith ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Jitvijan S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
78', 1 - 2, Valdo ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Chote-Jirachaithon P. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 3, Valdo ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1).

Mahasarakham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Police Tero is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mahasarakham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mahasarakham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mahasarakham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mahasarakham FC
Thai League 2
08.11.25	Pattaya United - Mahasarakham	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Mahasarakham - Nakhon Si United	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Songkhla - Mahasarakham	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mahasarakham - Chainat	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Mahasarakham - Kasetsart	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTTW
- Police Tero
Thai League 2
09.11.25	Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya	5:2 ✺
01.11.25	Kasetsart - Police Tero	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Police Tero - Khonkaen United	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Trat - Police Tero	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Police Tero - Nakhon Pathom United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
29.03.25	Police Tero - Mahasarakham	1:1
30.11.24	Mahasarakham - Police Tero	2:1

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