Match Info

National League South - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Gallagher Stadium (Maidstone)


	Maidstone United		Bath City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.45
	1.72	3.57	4.84
	1.72	3.68	4.6	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.71	3.35	4.63
	1.7	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	4.6 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
53.3%

Draw
26.8%

Bath City
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Maidstone United - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Binns C. 🟥,
57', 1 - 0, Papadopoulos A. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, Court R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Maidstone is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidstone won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League South
29.11.25	Maidstone United - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Enfield Town - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Torquay United - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
English National League South
08.11.25	Maidstone United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWW
- Bath City
English National League South
29.11.25	Bath City - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Bath City	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Bath City - Bracknell Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
11.11.25	Bath City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.02.25	Maidstone United - Bath City	3:0
19.11.24	Bath City - Maidstone United	3:3
05.03.24	Maidstone United - Bath City	2:2
12.08.23	Bath City - Maidstone United	3:0
05.02.22	Maidstone United - Bath City	2:1
25.09.21	Bath City - Maidstone United	0:3
18.02.20	Maidstone United - Bath City	0:2

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