Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Bracknell Town

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.85
	1.67	3.99	3.9
	2.52	2.40	3.82	Watch
	1.94	3.57	3.67
	1.71	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.59)	3.51 ↓ (3.8)	3.81 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
48.8%

Draw
26.6%

Bracknell Town
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

23.6%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bath City's form might have worsened.

Bracknell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bracknell Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bracknell Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bath City - Bracknell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Bowerman S. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Windsor O. ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Jenkins-Davies W. (Pen),
1, Bowerman S. (Pen),
2, Alves J. (Pen),
2, Hutchinson (Pen),
3, Raynes J. (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, Windsor O. (Pen),
4, Bracknell (Pen),
5, Ash B. (Pen),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bracknell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bath is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bath won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
11.11.25	Bath City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Bath City - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
04.11.25	Slough Town - Bath City	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Bath City - Horsham	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWLL
- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Sholing - Bracknell Town	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.25	Bracknell Town - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.25	Gosport Borough - Bracknell Town	6:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chertsey Town - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Bracknell Town - Bath City	1:0

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