Match Info

National League South - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Gallagher Stadium (Maidstone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Maidstone United		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.85
	1.64	4.1	4.6	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.6
	1.68	3.85	4.68
	1.66	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)	3.82 ↓ (3.94)	4.65 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
56%

Draw
24.1%

Dover Athletic
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.5%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

25.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Maidstone United - Dover Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maidstone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Corne S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Maidstone is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidstone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Maidstone United - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.5%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Dover Athletic - the odds 4.42 are the expected chance of winning is 20.97%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League South
20.12.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Yeovil Town - Maidstone United	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Maidstone United - Bath City	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Maidstone United - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Enfield Town - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWWL
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
20.12.25	Dover Athletic - Eastbourne Borough	2:5 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dover Athletic - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Chesham United - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Dover Athletic - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Weston-super-Mare - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.03.24	Dover Athletic - Maidstone United	0:1
14.11.23	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	1:0
English National League
01.01.19	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	0:1
26.12.18	Dover Athletic - Maidstone United	3:1
01.01.18	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	2:2
26.12.17	Dover Athletic - Maidstone United	2:2
01.01.17	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	1:4

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