Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 29

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Mainz II		Hoffenheim II

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.55	2.02
	3.65	3.27	1.97	Watch
	3.75	3.16	1.94
	3.3	3.55	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (7.2)	3.38 ↓ (4.3)	1.99 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz II
26.3%

Draw
27.3%

Hoffenheim II
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

21.4%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

20.8%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mainz II's performance.

Hoffenheim II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hoffenheim II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mainz II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hoffenheim II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mainz II - Hoffenheim II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim II will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 3, ⚽,
58', 1 - 4, ⚽,
70', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz II won 2.

Recent matches Mainz II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hoffenheim II in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mainz II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hoffenheim II is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Mainz II won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:29 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Mainz II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:13 (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.04.25	Freiberg - Mainz II	0:1 ✺
02.04.25	Mainz II - FSV Frankfurt	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Kickers Offenbach - Mainz II	3:2 ✺
21.03.25	Mainz II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Göppinger - Mainz II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45.7 WWLLL
- Hoffenheim II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
06.04.25	Hoffenheim II - Stuttgarter Kickers	3:0 ✺
01.04.25	Eintracht Trier - Hoffenheim II	0:4 ✺
28.03.25	Hoffenheim II - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Bahlinger - Hoffenheim II	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Hoffenheim II - Freiburg II	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
23.10.24	Hoffenheim II - Mainz II	5:0
17.03.24	Hoffenheim II - Mainz II	2:0
19.09.23	Mainz II - Hoffenheim II	1:0
18.04.23	Mainz II - Hoffenheim II	1:2
13.09.22	Hoffenheim II - Mainz II	1:3
02.04.22	Mainz II - Hoffenheim II	3:2
08.10.21	Hoffenheim II - Mainz II	0:1

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