Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Freiberg		Mainz II

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.55	3.45
	1.87	3.7	3.83
	1.84	3.69	3.66
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.78	3.52	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.65)	3.55 ↓ (3.92)	3.67 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Freiberg
49.4%

Draw
25.7%

Mainz II
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

23.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

22.6%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.

Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Freiberg - Mainz II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Gabriel T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 0 - 2, Videira J. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Grobelnik G. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mainz II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Freiberg is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Freiberg	10	5	5	0	26:11	15	20
15	Mainz II	10	3	0	7	10:21	-11	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
22.04.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Freiberg	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Homburg - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Freiberg - Stuttgarter Kickers	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Freiberg - Kickers Offenbach	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW
- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
21.04.26	Mainz II - Sandhausen	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Balingen - Mainz II	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Mainz II - Bahlinger	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Eintracht Trier - Mainz II	0:5 ✺
28.03.26	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.10.25	Mainz II - Freiberg	2:1
05.04.25	Freiberg - Mainz II	0:1
05.10.24	Mainz II - Freiberg	3:2
27.04.24	Mainz II - Freiberg	0:2
21.10.23	Freiberg - Mainz II	1:2
08.04.23	Freiberg - Mainz II	4:0
02.10.22	Mainz II - Freiberg	1:2

Upcoming Matches