Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 5

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday


	Mainz II		VfR Aalen

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	3.5
	1.83	4.15	3.59
	1.67	3.5	4.4
	1.79	3.88	3.88
	1.83	3.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.67)	3.82 ↑ (3.78)	3.79 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz II
51.6%

Draw
24.1%

VfR Aalen
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

24.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

VfR Aalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Mainz II - VfR Aalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz II won 4.

Mainz II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aalen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aalen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mainz II is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Mainz II won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Mainz II won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.08.23	Stuttgarter Kickers - Mainz II	4:1 ✺
20.08.23	Mainz II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	3:0 ✺
15.08.23	Mainz II - Balingen	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Hessen Kassel - Mainz II	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Mainz II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLL
- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.08.23	VfR Aalen - Hessen Kassel	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	TuS Koblenz - VfR Aalen	1:2 ✺
11.08.23	VfR Aalen - Kickers Offenbach	2:1 ✺
06.08.23	Homburg - VfR Aalen	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.23	VfR Aalen - Ulm 1846	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.04.23	Mainz II - VfR Aalen	4:1
09.10.22	VfR Aalen - Mainz II	0:2
27.11.21	VfR Aalen - Mainz II	4:3
14.08.21	Mainz II - VfR Aalen	3:1
16.05.21	Mainz II - VfR Aalen	3:1
05.10.19	VfR Aalen - Mainz II	0:0
German 3 Bundesliga
06.05.17	Mainz II - VfR Aalen	2:0

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