Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Mainz II		Balingen

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.95	3.4
	1.95	3.95	3.44
	1.85	3.72	3.46
	1.42	4.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.42)	4.06 ↓ (4.6)	3.98 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz II
53.3%

Draw
23.1%

Balingen
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

19.8%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mainz II's form might have worsened.

Balingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Balingen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainz II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balingen than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Balingen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mainz II - Balingen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 2.

Mainz II is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Balingen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mainz II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mainz II is the clear favorite.

We predict that Mainz II will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:16. (average 2.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainz II won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
04.10.25	Bahlinger - Mainz II	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Mainz II - Eintracht Trier	3:2 ✺
26.09.25	Schott Mainz - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Mainz II - Homburg	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Bayern Alzenau - Mainz II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWTW
- TSG Balingen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
04.10.25	Balingen - Kickers Offenbach	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Freiburg II - Balingen	4:4 ✺
27.09.25	Eintracht Trier - Balingen	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Balingen - Bayern Alzenau	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sandhausen - Balingen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.11.23	Balingen - Mainz II	2:3
15.08.23	Mainz II - Balingen	1:1
22.04.23	Balingen - Mainz II	1:1
15.10.22	Mainz II - Balingen	2:2
13.05.22	Mainz II - Balingen	3:2
20.11.21	Balingen - Mainz II	0:1
12.02.21	Balingen - Mainz II	2:5

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