Match Info

3. Liga - West - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Malacky		Častkovce

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.3	3.4	1.92
	3.32	3.47	1.93
	10.45	5.11	1.26	Watch
	3.36	3.35	1.99
	3.1	3.3	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.73)	3.69 ↓ (3.9)	1.83 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malacky
21.6%

Draw
26%

Častkovce
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

23.5%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Častkovce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacky than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Častkovce than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Malacky - Častkovce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2).

Malacky has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Častkovce is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Malacky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Častkovce is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Malacky won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Malacky won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Malacky
Slovak Cup
24.09.25	Malacky - Petrzalka	1:3 ✺
Slovak 3 Liga West
20.09.25	Malacky - Slovan Galanta	0:1 ✺
10.09.25	Beluša - Malacky	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Malacky - Nové Zámky	0:0 ✺
Slovak Cup
03.09.25	Záhoran Jakubov - Malacky	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTTW
- OK Častkovce
Slovak 3 Liga West
27.09.25	Častkovce - Rača Bratislava	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Baník HN Prievidza & Handlová - Častkovce	3:2 ✺
11.09.25	Častkovce - MŠK Senec	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Petrzalka B - Častkovce	0:7 ✺
30.08.25	Častkovce - DAC Dunajská Streda B	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga West
14.05.25	Malacky - Častkovce	1:2
27.04.24	Malacky - Častkovce	3:2
30.09.23	Častkovce - Malacky	0:5

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