Match Info

IRAN: Hazfi Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Malavan		SaiPa

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.5	5.75
	1.49	3.4	5.4
	1.5	3.6	5.8
	1.51	3.67	6.79
	1.52	3.65	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.78)	3.56 ↑ (3.03)	5.83 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malavan
59.5%

Draw
25.2%

SaiPa
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

30.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malavan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malavan's performance.

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malavan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, Omri M. (Pen),
69', 1 - 1, Khosravi M. H. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
119', 2 - 1, Sadeghi H. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Malavan won 2.

Recent matches Malavan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SaiPa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Malavan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Malavan is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Malavan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Malavan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malavan
Iran Pro League
21.04.24	Malavan - Sepahan	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Persepolis - Malavan	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Malavan	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Malavan - Sanat Naft	1:0 ✺
13.03.24	Paykan - Malavan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL
- SaiPa FC
Iran Division 1
15.04.24	SaiPa - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - SaiPa	2:1 ✺
27.03.24	SaiPa - Shahrdari Astara	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Ario Eslamshahr - SaiPa	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Esteghlal Molasani - SaiPa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
10.05.22	Malavan - SaiPa	2:0
01.01.22	SaiPa - Malavan	0:0
Iran Pro League
22.04.16	Malavan - SaiPa	3:2
20.11.15	SaiPa - Malavan	2:1
03.04.15	SaiPa - Malavan	1:0
12.09.14	Malavan - SaiPa	0:2
16.01.14	SaiPa - Malavan	1:2

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