Match Info

ASIA: AFF CHAMPIONSHIP - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Bukit Jalil National Stadium (Kuala Lumpur)


	Malaysia		Thailand

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.15
	3.15	2.95	2.2
	3.15	2.9	2.22
	3.5	2.97	2.37
	3.26	3.08	2.28	Watch
	3.3	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.58)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.25 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malaysia
28.2%

Draw
31%

Thailand
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

30.1%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

32.4%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malaysia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Thailand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaysia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thailand than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thailand could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	45.5%	18.2%

Malaysia - Thailand Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Malaysia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Thailand will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Malaysia won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Thailand will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Malaysia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malaysia
ASEAN Championship
03.01.23	Malaysia - Singapore	4:1 ✺
27.12.22	Vietnam - Malaysia	3:0 ✺
24.12.22	Malaysia - Laos	5:0 ✺
21.12.22	Myanmar - Malaysia	0:1 ✺
Friendly
14.12.22	Malaysia - Maldives	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW
- Thailand
ASEAN Championship
02.01.23	Thailand - Cambodia	3:1 ✺
29.12.22	Indonesia - Thailand	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Thailand - Philippines	4:0 ✺
20.12.22	Brunei - Thailand	0:5 ✺
Friendly
14.12.22	Thailand - Chinese Taipei	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kings Cup Thailand
22.09.22	Thailand - Malaysia	1:2 penalties
FIFA World Cup
15.06.21	Thailand - Malaysia	0:1
14.11.19	Malaysia - Thailand	2:1
ASEAN Championship
05.12.18	Thailand - Malaysia	2:2
01.12.18	Malaysia - Thailand	0:0
20.12.14	Malaysia - Thailand	3:2
17.12.14	Thailand - Malaysia	2:0

Malaysia - Thailand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide