Match Info

Allsvenskan Women - Round 21

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Lov U. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Fanseat, Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Discovery+, SVT 1, SVT Play, Viaplay


	Malmö		Rosengård

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6.25
	1.49	4.00	5.10
	1.39	4.60	7.28
	1.46	4.22	6	Watch
	1.37	4.50	7.20
	1.38	4.57	7.11
	1.39	4.40	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.58)	4.37 ↑ (3.7)	6.51 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
65%

Draw
20.9%

Rosengård
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.

Rosengård has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosengård than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Malmö - Rosengård Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Musovic Z. (G) 15. Martensson A. 4. Lofqvist E. 13. Petrovic E. 3. Grant C. 21. Sayer A. 8. Persson M. (C) 19. Russell L. 10. D'Aquila I. 9. Eiriksdottir H. 16. Skoog T.	1. Edrud M. (G) 4. Pennsater E. 49. Enehov A. 15. Wellesley-Smith C. 50. Sjostrom F. 7. Sorbo T. (C) 45. Bjorklund T. 20. Gomez I. 10. Siemsen R. 24. Imo A. 80. Jackson S.
Substitutes
7. Johansson S. 25. Khatawi M. 31. Krammer K. (G) 6. Lilja N. 29. Lindstrom A. 11. Milivojevic V. 18. Nevin C. 17. Olesen K.	43. Andersson S. (G) 44. Cronquist J. 26. Henry B. 41. Kristell S. 25. Mathiasen J. 8. Pikkujamsa E. 51. Staffansson T. 40. Sulaiman S. 2. Svensson K.
Coaches
Valfridsson J.	Alonso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', D'Aquila I. ↓, Milivojevic V. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Russell L. ⚽, Milivojevic V. (A),
63', Sjostrom F. ↓, Cronquist J. ↑,
76', Imo A. ↓, Henry B. ↑,
76', Sorbo T. ↓, Staffansson T. ↑,
76', Pennsater E. ↓, Pikkujamsa E. ↑,
86', Skoog T. ↓, Olesen K. ↑,
90+1', Jackson S. ↓, Svensson K. ↑,
90+2', Enehov A. 🟨,
90+3', Russell L. ↓, Lilja N. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd and 11th).

Malmö has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Rosengård have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rosengård could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Malmö for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Malmö in today's match, at odds of 1.5.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Malmö has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Malmö against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Malmo FF W	21	11	6	4	40:14	26	39
11	Rosengard W	21	5	5	11	21:26	-5	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF Women
UEFA Europa Cup Women
30.09.26	Malmö - St. Pölten	3:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
27.09.26	Brommapojkarna - Malmö	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
23.09.26	St. Pölten - Malmö	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
18.09.26	Malmö - Djurgården	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Malmö - Eskilstuna United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW
- FC Rosengård Women
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
27.09.26	Rosengård - Piteå	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Norrköping - Rosengård	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Rosengård - Uppsala	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Djurgården - Rosengård	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Rosengård - Häcken	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Women
02.05.26	Rosengård - Malmö	0:1
04.10.25	Malmö - Rosengård	2:1
08.08.25	Rosengård - Malmö	0:1
Svenska Cupen Women
08.03.25	Malmö - Rosengård	1:1

Malmö - Rosengård: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide