Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 24

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Loftus Versfeld Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
South-africa	SuperSport PSL


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Stellenbosch

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.45	8.2
	1.39	4.63	9.08
	1.31	4.72	8.73	Watch
	1.36	4.33	8.5
	1.4	4.24	8.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	4.47 ↑ (4.26)	8.58 ↑ (8.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
68.4%

Draw
20.8%

Stellenbosch
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

21.6%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

20.6%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Stellenbosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (C) 25. Mudau K. 20. Kekana G. 3. Ndamane K. 6. Modiba A. 34. Ntsabeleng T. 11. Allende M. 4. Mokoena T. 17. Matthews T. 9. Arthur Sales 13. Rayners I.	17. Stephens S. (C) 16. Godswill E. 24. Moloisane T. 99. Ndah O. 3. Mdaka O. 21. Mthiyane M. 19. Palace G. 34. Titus D. 29. Mokobodi T. 11. Phili L. 33. Butsaka C.
Substitutes
8. Adams J. 24. Cupido K. 12. Leon B. 29. Lunga D. 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 27. Morena T. 1. Onyango D. (G) 14. Saleng M. 18. Zwane T.	77. April S. 9. Cupido A. 27. Jabaar I. 15. Khanyi M. 8. Lekoloane K. 37. Mabasa T. 30. Masuluke O. (G) 14. Nkwali S. 4. Stanic H.
Coaches
Cardoso M.	Hunt G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Ntsabeleng T. ⚽, Arthur Sales (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Ntsabeleng T. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
63', Titus D. ↓, Cupido A. ↑,
63', Mthiyane M. ↓, Jabaar I. ↑,
64', Rayners I. ↓, Leon B. ↑,
75', Arthur Sales ↓, Saleng M. ↑,
77', Jabaar I. ↓, Mabasa T. ↑,
79', Palace G. 🟨,
83', Phili L. ↓, April S. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Mabasa T. ⚽,
88', Matthews T. ↓, Morena T. ↑,
88', Allende M. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
90+1', Mudau K. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 3.

Mamelodi Sundowns is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Stellenbosch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	8	6	2	0	19:7	12	20
7	Stellenbosch	7	2	3	2	8:7	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
18.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
07.04.26	Durban City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Chippa United	4:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
22.03.26	Stade Malien - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL
- Stellenbosch FC
South African Premier Soccer League
17.04.26	Stellenbosch - Sekhukhune United	3:1 ✺
07.04.26	Richards Bay - Stellenbosch	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Stellenbosch - Chippa United	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Stellenbosch	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Stellenbosch - TS Galaxy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
30.08.25	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1
11.05.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch	3:0
18.12.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1
South African MTN 8 Cup
01.09.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:0
28.08.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch	0:1
South African Premier Soccer League
18.05.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1
South African Nedbank Cup
05.05.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2

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