Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 6

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Mamer		Swift Hesperange

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	1.95
	5.50	2.93	1.79	Watch
	3.32	3.62	1.92
	3.84	3.76	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (2.89)	3.45 ↑ (3.34)	1.85 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamer
23.5%

Draw
26.7%

Swift Hesperange
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

26.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mamer's form might have worsened.

Swift Hesperange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swift Hesperange's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mamer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swift Hesperange, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mamer - Swift Hesperange Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Schreiber M. (G) 17. Baillet B. 91. Fiorani A. 4. Freire N. 11. Jager M. (C) 49. Kerger K. 97. Montout L. 2. Sylla I. 10. Teles I. 6. Vialette H. 18. Zilli Q.	40. Dupire G. (G) 80. de Jesus Cardoso D. 3. El Foukhari I. 5. Erkus E. 24. Herbin G. 28. Kaloga M. 29. Nguinda P. 14. Ninte Junior F. 21. Nsombi G. 26. Prempeh J. (C) 15. Savane H.
Substitutes
29. da Costa Batista D. 5. Erragui R. 27. Maurice J. 20. Mendes Y. 9. Muric D. 1. Rao A. (G) 99. Rapaille L.	6. Bouazzati Y. 1. De Oliveira L. (G) 22. Drame S. 18. Jallot J. 11. Morabet M. 36. Skenderovic K. 78. Tshiabuiye G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Zilli Q. ⚽,
15', Vialette H. 🟥,
15', 1 - 1, Ninte Junior F. ⚽,
30', Teles I. 🟨,
35', Herbin G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', de Jesus Cardoso D. 🟨,
59', Nguinda P. ↓, Drame S. ↑,
59', Herbin G. ↓, Bouazzati Y. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Savane H. ⚽, Bouazzati Y. (A),
67', Baillet B. ↓, Muric D. ↑,
72', Sylla I. ↓, Erragui R. ↑,
79', Erkus E. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+1', Muric D. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Swift Hesperange has had a series of home games.

In this match, Swift Hesperange is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
03.09.25	Mamer - Differdange 03	1:4 ✺
24.08.25	Mamer - F91 Dudelange	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Jeunesse Esch - Mamer	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Jeunesse Canach - Mamer	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.25	Mondercange - Mamer	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLWWW
- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
31.08.25	Swift Hesperange - Atert Bissen	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Käerjéng 97 - Swift Hesperange	0:3 ✺
17.08.25	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:4 ✺
10.08.25	Swift Hesperange - UNA Strassen	4:2 ✺
03.08.25	Swift Hesperange - Pétange	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLWT

Mamer - Swift Hesperange: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide