Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 21

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Mamer		Victoria Rosport

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.34	3.25	2.85
	2.35	3.32	2.78	Watch
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.33	3.15	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.7)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.83 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamer
39.3%

Draw
28.8%

Victoria Rosport
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

29.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mamer's performance.

Victoria Rosport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoria Rosport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mamer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Rosport than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Mamer - Victoria Rosport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Schreiber M. (G) 13. Chibani B. 29. da Costa Batista D. 5. Erragui R. 22. Ezan A. 4. Freire N. 11. Jager M. (C) 49. Kerger K. 9. Muric D. 28. Schmit B. 10. Teles I.	22. Burger N. (G) 10. Arslan M. 20. Brkljaca M. 77. Ferreira A. 9. Kyereh F. 7. Marques K. (C) 6. Rodrigues Fernandes G. 8. Sousa R. 19. Trombini S. 93. Villeneuve J. 13. Vogel B.
Substitutes
30. Agnoly M. 8. Bahovic A. 54. Biagui Y. 35. Boisseron J. 1. Bonet P. (G) 27. Maurice J.	25. Baudry C. 4. Bechtold M. 2. Faldey J. 99. Jiang B. (G) 78. Skuka D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Muric D. 🟨,
26', Ferreira A. 🟨,
28', Freire N. 🟨,
35', Marques K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Chibani B. ↓, Boisseron J. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Ferreira A. ⚽,
57', Brkljaca M. 🟨,
61', Muric D. ↓, Agnoly M. ↑,
61', Kerger K. ↓, Biagui Y. ↑,
71', Erragui R. ↓, Bahovic A. ↑,
73', Trombini S. ↓, Baudry C. ↑,
79', da Costa Batista D. ↓, Maurice J. ↑,
84', Ferreira A. ↓, Faldey J. ↑,
84', Arslan M. ↓, Steinbach J. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Marques K. ⚽, Sousa R. (A),
89', Kyereh F. ↓, Skuka D. ↑,
89', Marques K. ↓, Bechtold M. ↑,
90', Vogel B. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 11).

Recent performances by Mamer have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Victoria Rosport is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mamer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mamer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Mamer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Victoria Rosport	8	1	2	5	11:20	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
08.03.26	Swift Hesperange - Mamer	0:1 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Mamer - Victoria Rosport	2:3 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
28.02.26	Mamer - Mondorf-les-Bains	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	F91 Dudelange - Mamer	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Mamer - Jeunesse Esch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 WLLWW
- FC Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg National Division
08.03.26	Victoria Rosport - Atert Bissen	1:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Mamer - Victoria Rosport	2:3 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
01.03.26	Käerjéng 97 - Victoria Rosport	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Victoria Rosport - Progrès Niedercorn	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	UNA Strassen - Victoria Rosport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Mamer - Victoria Rosport	2:3
Luxembourg National Division
01.10.25	Victoria Rosport - Mamer	3:0

Mamer - Victoria Rosport: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide