Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Verde - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)


	Manaus		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.05	2.21
	3.3	2.97	2.31
	3.22	2.98	2.27	Watch
	3.12	3.22	2.29
	3.15	3.05	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	3.05 ↑ (2.95)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
28.9%

Draw
30.2%

Paysandu
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

30.9%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

31.5%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1%)

Manaus - Paysandu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Borasi B. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Rossi ⚽,
21', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 3, Delvalle P. ⚽,
66', Bryan 🟥,
90+5', 1 - 4, (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Manaus won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Manaus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paysandu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Manaus won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Manaus won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
23.02.25	Manaus - Parintins	3:2 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.02.25	Independência - Manaus	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
13.02.25	Paysandu - Manaus	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
09.02.25	São Raimundo Manaus - Manaus	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
06.02.25	Manaus - Águia de Marabá	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTTW
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
23.02.25	Remo - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
17.02.25	Paysandu - Independente	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
13.02.25	Paysandu - Manaus	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
09.02.25	Bragantino do Pará - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
05.02.25	Paysandu - Porto Velho	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
13.02.25	Paysandu - Manaus	0:0
24.03.24	Paysandu - Manaus	4:1
21.03.24	Manaus - Paysandu	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
21.05.23	Paysandu - Manaus	1:0
30.05.22	Paysandu - Manaus	2:0
25.09.21	Paysandu - Manaus	2:0
25.07.21	Manaus - Paysandu	1:1

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