Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Verde - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)


	Paysandu		Manaus

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	6
	1.5	3.78	6.6
	1.5	3.83	6.2	Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.5
	1.45	3.84	6.71
	1.49	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.7)	3.74 ↑ (3.26)	6 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
60.3%

Draw
24.4%

Manaus
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

26.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paysandu's performance.

Manaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paysandu - Manaus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 4.

Paysandu in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Manaus is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paysandu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paysandu is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Paysandu to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
09.02.25	Bragantino do Pará - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
05.02.25	Paysandu - Porto Velho	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
28.01.25	Paysandu - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Águia de Marabá - Paysandu	2:4 ✺
19.01.25	Paysandu - Capitão Poço	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWWW
- Manaus FC
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
09.02.25	São Raimundo Manaus - Manaus	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
06.02.25	Manaus - Águia de Marabá	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
02.02.25	Manaus - Amazonas	2:2 ✺
30.01.25	Manauara - Manaus	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Manaus - Nacional AM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
24.03.24	Paysandu - Manaus	4:1
21.03.24	Manaus - Paysandu	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
21.05.23	Paysandu - Manaus	1:0
30.05.22	Paysandu - Manaus	2:0
25.09.21	Paysandu - Manaus	2:0
25.07.21	Manaus - Paysandu	1:1
31.10.20	Paysandu - Manaus	1:1

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