Match Info

Serie D - Round 4

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)


	Manaus		São Raimundo PR

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.55
	1.77	3.19	4.76	Watch
	1.75	3	4.5
	1.72	3.1	5.06
	1.75	3.1	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.49)	3.1 ↓ (3.49)	4.7 ↓ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
51.7%

Draw
29.1%

São Raimundo PR
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

25.9%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

26.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manaus's form might have worsened.

São Raimundo PR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Raimundo PR's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manaus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Raimundo PR than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Raimundo PR, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manaus - São Raimundo PR Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Marcos Gabriel ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

In recent matches, Manaus has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

São Raimundo PR is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Manaus is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Manaus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Manaus won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie D
19.04.26	Manaus - Manauara	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Nacional AM - Manaus	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Manaus - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Manaus - Londrina	0:1 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Capital FC - Manaus	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWLW
- São Raimundo PR
Brazilian Serie D
19.04.26	São Raimundo PR - Monte Roraima	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - São Raimundo PR	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	São Raimundo PR - Manauara	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Roraimense
07.03.26	Baré - São Raimundo PR	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - São Raimundo PR	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
16.06.24	Manaus - São Raimundo PR	2:0
01.06.24	São Raimundo PR - Manaus	1:2
06.07.19	Manaus - São Raimundo PR	2:0 penalties

Manaus - São Raimundo PR: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide