Match Info

Serie D - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)


	Manaus		Grêmio Atlético Sampaio

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.05	5.9
	1.45	3.98	6.71
	1.46	3.98	6.69	Watch
	1.44	3.6	6.5
	1.54	3.91	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	3.9 ↑ (3.75)	6.36 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
62.3%

Draw
23.4%

Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.8%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Grêmio Atlético Sampaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Manaus - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Silverio Ribeiro C. L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Manaus is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

GAS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Manaus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Manaus is the clear favorite.

We predict that Manaus will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Manaus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Manaus won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Manaus - Londrina	0:1 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Capital FC - Manaus	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
25.02.26	Manaus - São Raimundo Manaus	3:0 ✺
19.02.26	Nacional AM - Manaus	0:1 ✺
10.02.26	Manaus - Princesa do Solimões	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWW
- Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
Brazilian Campeonato Roraimense
01.04.26	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Baré	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
30.03.26	Trem - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	5:4 ✺
24.03.26	Paysandu - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Roraimense
21.03.26	Monte Roraima - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	0:1 penalties ✺
17.03.26	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Baré	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
15.06.25	Manaus - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	1:2
24.05.25	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Manaus	1:2

Manaus - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide