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Current Win Probability
Manchego 31.5%
Draw 31.3%
Deportivo Toledo 37.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.8%
30%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
27.5%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Manchego - Deportivo Toledo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion and 4th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 1.
Manchego arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Toledo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Manchego could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Toledo holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Manchego has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 0.8:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Manchego against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 1.2:0.2 per game).
Watch
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