Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 29

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Manchego		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.55	2.9	2.9	Watch
	2.69	2.78	2.95
	2.69	2.78	2.95
	2.62	2.76	2.93
	2.55	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.94)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	2.88 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchego
35.4%

Draw
32.7%

Orihuela
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

32%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orihuela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Manchego - Orihuela Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Manchego will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Peter I. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Bellari H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 1, Ramon J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Manchego is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orihuela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Manchego won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.03.24	El Palo - Manchego	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Manchego - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Vélez - Manchego	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Manchego - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	San Roque de Lepe - Manchego	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTTT
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.03.24	Orihuela - Águilas	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Orihuela - Betis B	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	La Unión - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Orihuela - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.11.23	Orihuela - Manchego	0:2

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