The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vélez 36.1%
Draw 31.5%
Manchego 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
29.8%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
30.2%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Vélez is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Manchego is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Manchego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.