Match Info

Champions League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Olmedo O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	Disney+
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	Disney+
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Disney+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Disney+
Finland	Disney+
France	Disney+
Greece	Disney+
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	Disney+
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Iran	Persiana Sports 4
Italy	Disney+
Kazakhstan	Disney+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Disney+
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	TVC Deportes
Netherlands	Disney+
New-zealand	ESPN
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Disney+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Disney+
Portugal	Disney+
Romania	Disney+
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Disney+
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	Disney+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	Maincast Sport
United-kingdom	Disney+, MUTV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Manchester United		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.9	1.83
	3.2	3.8	1.92
	3.25	4.18	1.93
	3.15	4.25	1.95	Watch
	3.1	3.5	1.91
	3.2	3.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.96)	3.91 ↑ (3.69)	1.91 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
28.5%

Draw
23.5%

Bayern Munich
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

25.3%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.2%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Manchester United - Bayern Munich Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Tullis-Joyce P. (G) 5. Lundkvist H. 4. Le Tissier M. (C) 21. Turner M. 12. Rolfo F. 18. Zigiotti Olme J. 20. Miyazawa H. 16. Naalsund L. 8. Park J. 24. Schuller L. 9. Malard M.	32. Mahmutovic E. (G) 7. Gwinn G. 4. Viggosdottir G. (C) 2. Gilles V. 30. Simon C. 10. Dallmann L. 15. Amani B. 31. Stanway G. 20. Kett F. 21. Harder P. 27. Caruso A.
Substitutes
47. Anderson J. 13. Awujo S. 3. George G. 39. Middleton-Patel S. (G) 1. Rendell K. (G) 14. Riviere J. 10. Terland E.	3. Ballisager S. 28. Dunst B. 5. Eriksson M. 1. Grohs M. (G) 29. Imade E. 23. Padilla N. 18. Tanikawa M. 33. Zahringer L.
Coaches
Skinner M.	Barcala J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Harder P. ⚽, Caruso A. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Le Tissier M. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Simon C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Simon C. ↓, Tanikawa M. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Harder P. ⚽, Tanikawa M. (A),
72', Amani B. ↓, Imade E. ↑,
76', Schuller L. ↓, Riviere J. ↑,
76', Miyazawa H. ↓, Awujo S. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Lundkvist H. ⚽, Le Tissier M. (A),
84', 2 - 3, Tanikawa M. ⚽, Kett F. (A),
88', Caruso A. ↓, Ballisager S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Man Utd has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bayern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bayern has had a series of away games.

Bayern might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Man Utd won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Including home match between the teams, Man Utd won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Women for now

Bayern Munich W: 7.12%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayern Munich W	2	1	1	0	5:2	3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United WFC
English WSL
21.03.26	Manchester United - Everton	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	West Ham - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
15.03.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup Women
22.02.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	2:1 ET ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
19.02.26	Manchester United - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLLW
- FC Bayern Munich Women
German Bundesliga Women
20.03.26	SGS Essen - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
15.03.26	Köln - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
11.03.26	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
22.02.26	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	4:1 ✺
11.02.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Bayern Munich	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Women
19.08.22	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	0:3

Manchester United - Bayern Munich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide