Match Info

Champions League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Olmedo O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	21:00	Disney+
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	21:00	Disney+
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Disney+
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Disney+
Canada	16:00	OneSoccer
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Disney+
Cyprus	22:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN
Estonia	22:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	Disney+
Greece	22:00	Disney+
Haiti	16:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	Disney+
Iceland	20:00	Disney+
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Iran	23:30	Persiana Sports 4
Italy	21:00	Disney+
Kazakhstan	02:00	Disney+
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Disney+
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	14:00	TVC Deportes
Netherlands	21:00	Disney+
New Zealand	09:00	ESPN
Nigeria	21:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Disney+
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Disney+
Portugal	20:00	Disney+
Romania	22:00	Disney+
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Disney+
South Africa	22:00	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	21:00	Disney+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Maincast Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	Disney+, MUTV
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Manchester United		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.9	1.83
	3.2	3.8	1.92
	3.25	4.18	1.93
	3.15	4.25	1.95	Watch
	3.1	3.5	1.91
	3.2	3.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.96)	3.91 ↑ (3.69)	1.91 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
28.5%

Draw
23.5%

Bayern Munich
48%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.6%

25.3%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.2%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Manchester United - Bayern Munich Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Tullis-Joyce P. (G) 5. Lundkvist H. 4. Le Tissier M. (C) 21. Turner M. 12. Rolfo F. 18. Zigiotti Olme J. 20. Miyazawa H. 16. Naalsund L. 8. Park J. 24. Schuller L. 9. Malard M.	32. Mahmutovic E. (G) 7. Gwinn G. 4. Viggosdottir G. (C) 2. Gilles V. 30. Simon C. 10. Dallmann L. 15. Amani B. 31. Stanway G. 20. Kett F. 21. Harder P. 27. Caruso A.
Substitutes
47. Anderson J. 13. Awujo S. 3. George G. 39. Middleton-Patel S. (G) 1. Rendell K. (G) 14. Riviere J. 10. Terland E.	3. Ballisager S. 28. Dunst B. 5. Eriksson M. 1. Grohs M. (G) 29. Imade E. 23. Padilla N. 18. Tanikawa M. 33. Zahringer L.
Coaches
Skinner M.	Barcala J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Harder P. ⚽, Caruso A. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Le Tissier M. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Simon C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Simon C. ↓, Tanikawa M. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Harder P. ⚽, Tanikawa M. (A),
72', Amani B. ↓, Imade E. ↑,
76', Schuller L. ↓, Riviere J. ↑,
76', Miyazawa H. ↓, Awujo S. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Lundkvist H. ⚽, Le Tissier M. (A),
84', 2 - 3, Tanikawa M. ⚽, Kett F. (A),
88', Caruso A. ↓, Ballisager S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Man Utd has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bayern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bayern has had a series of away games.

Bayern might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Man Utd won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Including home match between the teams, Man Utd won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bayern Munich W	3	1	2	0	7:4	3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United WFC
English WSL
21.03.26	Manchester United - Everton	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	West Ham - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
15.03.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup Women
22.02.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	2:1 ET ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
19.02.26	Manchester United - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLLW
- FC Bayern Munich Women
German Bundesliga Women
20.03.26	SGS Essen - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
15.03.26	Köln - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
11.03.26	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
22.02.26	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	4:1 ✺
11.02.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Bayern Munich	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Women
19.08.22	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	0:3

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