Match Info

WSL - Round 22

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Burgin M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chelsea		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	7
	1.34	4.65	6.7
	1.38	5.07	7.44
	1.37	5.08	6.97	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7
	1.33	4.75	7.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.52)	4.82 ↑ (4.11)	7.06 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
67.9%

Draw
19.1%

Manchester United
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

22.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

20.9%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Chelsea - Manchester United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Hampton H. (G) 2. Carpenter E. 26. Buchanan K. 5. Buurman V. 21. Charles N. 8. Cuthbert E. (C) 30. Walsh K. 6. Nusken S. 12. Thompson A. 20. Kerr S. 10. James L.	91. Tullis-Joyce P. (G) 14. Riviere J. 4. Le Tissier M. (C) 3. George G. 2. Sandberg A. 9. Malard M. 18. Zigiotti Olme J. 20. Miyazawa H. 12. Rolfo F. 19. Wangerheim E. 7. Toone E.
Substitutes
17. Baltimore S. 33. Beever-Jones A. 19. Kaneryd J. 18. Kaptein W. 1. Peng L. (G) 32. Potter A. 7. Ramirez M. 42. Sarwie C. 38. Spencer R. (G)	13. Awujo S. 17. Janssen D. 5. Lundkvist H. 16. Naalsund L. 8. Park J. 1. Rendell K. (G) 24. Schuller L. 10. Terland E. 21. Turner M.
Coaches
Bompastor S.	Skinner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Riviere J. ↓, Lundkvist H. ↑,
23', George G. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Kerr S. ⚽, James L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sandberg A. ↓, Park J. ↑,
54', Nusken S. ↓, Kaptein W. ↑,
79', James L. ↓, Beever-Jones A. ↑,
81', Zigiotti Olme J. ↓, Janssen D. ↑,
82', Wangerheim E. ↓, Schuller L. ↑,
90+4', Malard M. ↓, Terland E. ↑,
90+5', Hampton H. ↓, Peng L. ↑,
90+5', Kerr S. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
90+5', Thompson A. ↓, Baltimore S. ↑,
90+10', Tullis-Joyce P. 🟨,
90+11', Buurman V. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Third stage: ) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4.

Chelsea is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Man Utd's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Man Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chelsea is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Aspin B. (Knee Injury) Bjorn N. (Calf Injury) Girma N. (Calf Injury) Ramirez M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Drury L. (Injury) Ildhusoy C. (Maternity leave)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Janssen D. (Hamstring Injury) Terland E. (Injury)

We predict that Chelsea will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:12. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:6. (average 2.1:0.5).

Outrights of English WSL for now

Chelsea W: 26.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Chelsea W	5	4	1	0	12:1	11	13
7	Manchester Utd W	5	2	1	2	5:9	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea LFC
English FA Cup Women
10.05.26	Chelsea - Manchester City	2:3 ET ✺
English WSL
03.05.26	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Everton - Chelsea	1:4 ✺
English FA Cup Women
06.04.26	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
01.04.26	Chelsea - Arsenal LFC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW
- Manchester United WFC
English WSL
02.05.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
01.04.26	Bayern Munich - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
English WSL
28.03.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
25.03.26	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup Women
15.03.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	2:0
English FA Cup Women
22.02.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	2:1 ET
English WSL
03.10.25	Manchester United - Chelsea	1:1
English FA Cup Women
18.05.25	Chelsea - Manchester United	3:0
English WSL
30.04.25	Manchester United - Chelsea	0:1
24.11.24	Chelsea - Manchester United	1:0
18.05.24	Manchester United - Chelsea	0:6

Chelsea - Manchester United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide