Match Info

Women's League Cup

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)


	Birmingham City LFC		Liverpool LFC

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.20	1.46
	5.3	4.15	1.44
	5.56	4.31	1.49
	6	4.38	1.44
	5.5	4.25	1.45
	5.72	4.37	1.5
	5.4	4.2	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↓ (5.63)	4.27 ↑ (4.11)	1.46 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Birmingham City LFC
16.4%

Draw
21.3%

Liverpool LFC
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

22%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

21.5%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Liverpool LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool LFC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Birmingham City LFC - Liverpool LFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thomas L. (G) 3. Levasseur M. 2. Harris M. 6. Cooke S. 15. Holloway R. 19. Cornet C. (C) 14. Amano S. 20. Effa Effa C. 10. Leidhammar W. 4. Rastocle J. 27. Sarri V.	22. Kirby F. (G) 25. Bergstrom A. 36. Shaw Z. 23. Agrez S. 16. Woodham L. 8. Nagano F. 14. Hobinger M. (C) 11. Olsson B. 87. Trueman M. 13. Enderby M. 27. Csillag A.
Substitutes
23. Baggaley S. (G) 16. Crosthwaite L. 30. Herron N. 22. Hurtre O. 7. Lee Geum-Min 18. McKenna R. 26. Miyagawa A. 8. Naalsund L. 21. Turner M.	29. Bernabe A. 48. Breen I. 17. Clark J. 7. Kapocs C. 24. Kerr S. 1. Laws R. (G) 19. MacLean K. 54. McDonald N. 6. Ramos N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Hobinger M. ⚽, Csillag A. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Levasseur M. ⚽,
44', Csillag A. ↓, Kapocs C. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Nagano F. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
46', Olsson B. ↓, McDonald N. ↑,
46', Sarri V. ↓, Lee Geum-Min ↑,
46', Levasseur M. ↓, McKenna R. ↑,
46', Effa Effa C. ↓, Crosthwaite L. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Lee Geum-Min ⚽, McKenna R. (A),
51', 2 - 2, McDonald N. ⚽,
54', 2 - 3, Hobinger M. ⚽, Trueman M. (A),
61', Bergstrom A. ↓, Kerr S. ↑,
61', Rastocle J. ↓, Herron N. ↑,
74', Amano S. ↓, Miyagawa A. ↑,
74', Hobinger M. ↓, MacLean K. ↑,
76', 3 - 3, Leidhammar W. ⚽,
80', Woodham L. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 4, Ramos N. ⚽, Woodham L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4.

Recent results have been tough for Birmingham (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Liverpool shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Liverpool is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:4 (averaging 1.4:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Birmingham against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
4	Liverpool W	2	2	0	0	0	8:5	6
20	Birmingham W	2	0	0	0	2	3:6	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL
27.09.26	Birmingham City LFC - Crystal Palace	3:3 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.09.26	Everton - Birmingham City LFC	2:0 ✺
English WSL
19.09.26	Chelsea - Birmingham City LFC	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Birmingham City LFC - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Manchester City - Birmingham City LFC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLTL
- Liverpool LFC
English WSL
27.09.26	Liverpool LFC - Everton	2:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.09.26	Liverpool LFC - Sunderland	4:2 ✺
English WSL
18.09.26	Manchester City - Liverpool LFC	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Liverpool LFC - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Charlton Athletic - Liverpool LFC	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Women
20.08.23	Birmingham City LFC - Liverpool LFC	1:0
English WSL
27.10.19	Birmingham City LFC - Liverpool LFC	2:0
25.11.18	Liverpool LFC - Birmingham City LFC	0:2
25.03.18	Birmingham City LFC - Liverpool LFC	4:0
11.11.17	Liverpool LFC - Birmingham City LFC	1:0
07.05.17	Birmingham City LFC - Liverpool LFC	0:2
25.09.16	Birmingham City LFC - Liverpool LFC	2:1

Birmingham City LFC - Liverpool LFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide