Match Info

WA State League - Round 22

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Securitas Protect Stadium (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Streamer


	Mandurah City		Murdoch University Melville

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.75	4.40
	1.72	3.95	3.50
	1.33	5.53	5.21
	1.40	5.47	5.09	Watch
	1.29	5.40	5.10
	1.41	4.90	5.32
	1.44	4.70	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.74)	4.96 ↑ (4)	4.76 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mandurah City
62.8%

Draw
18.2%

Murdoch University Melville
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

22.9%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

22.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mandurah City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mandurah City's performance.

Murdoch University Melville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murdoch University Melville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mandurah City than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mandurah City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murdoch University Melville than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Mandurah City - Murdoch University Melville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Promotion: ) and 10).

In recent matches, Mandurah City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Murdoch Melville has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Murdoch Melville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mandurah City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mandurah City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Mandurah City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mandurah City	22	11	3	8	47:39	8	36
10	Murdoch Melville	22	5	7	10	38:46	-8	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mandurah City FC
Australian WA State League
15.08.26	Floreat Athena - Mandurah City	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	UWA Nedlands - Mandurah City	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Curtin University - Mandurah City	3:4 ✺
04.07.26	Mandurah City - Gwelup Croatia	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Mandurah City - Kingsley Westside	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTW
- Murdoch University Melville FC
Australian WA State League
15.08.26	Kingsley Westside - Murdoch University Melville	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Murdoch University Melville - UWA Nedlands	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Murdoch University Melville - Curtin University	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Joondalup City - Murdoch University Melville	3:2 ✺
11.07.26	Subiaco - Murdoch University Melville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian WA State League
06.06.26	Murdoch University Melville - Mandurah City	1:2
28.06.25	Murdoch University Melville - Mandurah City	2:1
19.04.25	Mandurah City - Murdoch University Melville	2:2
06.07.24	Murdoch University Melville - Mandurah City	2:6

Mandurah City - Murdoch University Melville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide