Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 34

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)


	Manisa FK		Altınordu

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4	Watch
	1.75	3.7	3.9
	1.68	3.55	4.2
	1.73	4.09	4.44
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.71	3.92	4.25
	1.67	3.85	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.63)	3.76 ↓ (3.9)	4.16 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
53.5%

Draw
24.4%

Altınordu
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.8%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Altınordu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manisa FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altınordu than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Manisa FK - Altınordu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Altınordu will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manisa: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Manisa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Manisa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Manisa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Manisa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
16.04.23	Erzurumspor - Manisa FK	1:3 ✺
12.04.23	Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Manisa FK - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
29.03.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Manisa FK	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL
- Altınordu
Turkish First League
13.04.23	Altay - Altınordu	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Altınordu - Eyüpspor	1:2 ✺
28.03.23	Altınordu - Denizlispor	5:2 ✺
24.03.23	Samsunspor - Altınordu	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Altınordu - Tuzlaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
28.11.22	Altınordu - Manisa FK	1:3
16.04.22	Altınordu - Manisa FK	1:0
21.11.21	Manisa FK - Altınordu	1:0

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