Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)


	Manisa FK		Çaykur Rizespor

	1	X	2
	2.62	3	2.6
	2.65	3.1	2.55
	2.6	3.05	2.55
	2.55	3.05	2.55
	2.75	3.29	2.66
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.57	3.24	2.53	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2)	3.11 ↓ (3.27)	2.57 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
34.9%

Draw
29.5%

Çaykur Rizespor
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

28.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manisa FK's form might have worsened.

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Çaykur Rizespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manisa FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Çaykur Rizespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Manisa FK - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Rizespor will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Manisa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rizespor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Manisa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Manisa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish Cup
18.10.22	Manisa FK - Eynesil Belediyespor	3:2 penalties ✺
Turkish First League
15.10.22	Manisa FK - Altay	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Eyüpspor - Manisa FK	4:0 ✺
02.10.22	Manisa FK - Adanaspor	3:2 ✺
18.09.22	Bodrumspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLWT
- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Cup
18.10.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Boyabat	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
15.10.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Eyüpspor	0:0 ✺
10.10.22	Altay - Çaykur Rizespor	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Adanaspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
21.09.16	Manisa FK - Çaykur Rizespor	2:4

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