Match Info

1. Lig - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX


	Manisa FK		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.50	3.30	Watch
	1.93	3.40	3.25
	1.72	3.55	3.90	Watch
	2.03	3.65	3.58
	1.8	3.93	3.87	Watch
	2.01	3.50	3.50
	2.01	3.60	3.40
	1.98	3.50	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)	3.58 ↓ (3.71)	3.51 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
47.9%

Draw
25.8%

İstanbulspor
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

22.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manisa FK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbulspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manisa FK - İstanbulspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karakus V. (G) 22. Yurdakul K. 5. Herelle C. 45. Ibik A. 7. Talum Y. 60. Toure B. (C) 20. Benrahou Y. 23. Anziani J. 6. Cankaya A. 70. Vargas A. 9. Sylla C.	28. Tutar A. (G) 5. Ologo Inainfe M. 4. Sahin D. 89. Uzunhan E. 18. Tuncer D. 11. Nizam B. 21. Aydin D. (C) 15. Mendy E. 3. Ozer Y. 10. Iliev I. 27. Fall M.
Substitutes
8. Arik K. 24. Dursun Y. 27. Gureler Y. 4. Inal F. 17. Kahraman O. 3. Kaynak O. 2. Kose Y. 11. Lemina N. 25. Sen A. 13. Yayli E. (G)	81. Akman A. 30. Cham A. 6. Dayakli I. 1. Dogan I. (G) 52. Duymaz O. 17. Njie E. 61. Sarialioglu E. 9. Sol M. 12. Sonmez K. 8. Temel V.
Coaches
Pektas A.	Demir O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Tuncer D. 🟨,
33', Mendy E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Vargas A. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
65', Demir O. 🟨,
65', Tuncer D. ↓, Cham A. ↑,
65', Iliev I. ↓, Duymaz O. ↑,
73', Fall M. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
73', Nizam B. ↓, Temel V. ↑,
73', Aydin D. ↓, Sonmez K. ↑,
77', Sol M. 🟨,
77', Karakus V. 🟨,
86', Ibik A. ↓, Gureler Y. ↑,
87', Gureler Y. 🟨,
90', Talum Y. ↓, Lemina N. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Sol M. ⚽, Cham A. (A),
90+5', Toure B. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 19th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 1.

Manisa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

İstanbulspor is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Manisa is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Manisa has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Manisa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Manisa FK	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
18	Istanbulspor AS	8	1	2	5	7:19	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
13.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Manisa FK - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Igdirspor - Manisa FK	4:2 ✺
30.08.26	Manisa FK - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
24.08.26	Sivasspor - Manisa FK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLTT
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
14.09.26	Kayserispor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
07.09.26	İstanbulspor - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Bursaspor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Vanspor - İstanbulspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.01.26	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	1:0
25.08.25	İstanbulspor - Manisa FK	1:1
19.01.25	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	0:1
10.08.24	İstanbulspor - Manisa FK	3:2
09.01.22	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	1:2
14.08.21	İstanbulspor - Manisa FK	3:4

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