Match Info

1. Lig - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	İstanbulspor		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.1	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.20
	3.01	3.29	2.19	Watch
	3.19	3.57	2.24
	3.03	3.54	2.19	Watch
	3	3.5	2.19
	2.97	3.36	2.15
	2.85	3.3	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.84)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	2.19 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
31%

Draw
27.1%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.5%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Tutar A. (G) 58. Dagasan M. 4. Sahin D. 37. Islamoglu U. 3. Ozer Y. 30. Cham A. 21. Aydin D. (C) 15. Mendy E. 11. Nizam B. 10. Iliev I. 7. Phellipe	1. Silvestri M. (G) 25. Sarikaya M. 4. Biraschi D. (C) 6. Yalcin R. 33. Kurukalip C. 20. Siopis M. 8. Tokoz D. 10. Verde D. 5. Akbaba E. 11. Cukur T. 72. Pesic A.
Substitutes
6. Dayakli I. 1. Dogan I. (G) 17. Njie E. 5. Ologo Inainfe M. 31. Sandikci E. 61. Sarialioglu E. 9. Sol M. 12. Sonmez K. 8. Temel V. 18. Tuncer D.	26. Ahmed T. 21. Baskale C. 28. Cinar A. 22. Civelek R. 14. Doh M. 7. Kalayci B. 3. Nukan A. 19. Onogo Y. 23. Sen B. (G) 9. Tosun C.
Coaches
Kanbak B.	Stanojevic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Cham A. ⚽, Nizam B. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Akbaba E. ⚽, Pesic A. (A),
32', Biraschi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Tokoz D. 🟨,
62', Cukur T. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
62', Verde D. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
62', Tokoz D. ↓, Onogo Y. ↑,
69', Pesic A. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
71', Phellipe ↓, Sol M. ↑,
72', Aydin D. ↓, Temel V. ↑,
76', Nizam B. ↓, Njie E. ↑,
79', Njie E. 🟨,
83', Kurukalip C. ↓, Civelek R. ↑,
84', Cham A. ↓, Tuncer D. ↑,
85', Iliev I. ↓, Sonmez K. ↑,
90+6', Ahmed T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1.

İstanbulspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, İstanbulspor has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, İstanbulspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12
18	Istanbulspor AS	8	1	2	5	7:19	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

İstanbulspor - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.08%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Fatih Karagümrükspor - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
23.08.26	Vanspor - İstanbulspor	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	İstanbulspor - Bodrumspor	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Bandırmaspor - İstanbulspor	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Eyüpspor - İstanbulspor	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Kasımpaşa - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
21.08.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Igdirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.05.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Alanyaspor	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	0:0
Turkish First League
22.02.25	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0
30.09.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	1:0
Turkish Super League
20.04.24	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2
01.12.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	3:0
03.04.23	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1
03.10.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	1:2

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