Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Manresa		Montañesa

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.82	3.6
	2.08	3.02	3.69
	2.08	2.99	3.67
	2.1	2.8	3.6
	2.1	2.88	3.61
	2.05	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)	2.92 (2.92)	3.63 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manresa
43.7%

Draw
31.2%

Montañesa
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

31.1%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

31.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Montañesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Manresa - Montañesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Olmedo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Manresa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Manresa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
07.12.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Manresa	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Manresa - Peralada	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Vic - Manresa	2:4 ✺
09.11.25	Manresa - LHospitalet	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Can Vidalet - Manresa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWLW
- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
07.12.25	Montañesa - CE Europa B	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Grama - Montañesa	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Montañesa - Tona	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lleida - Montañesa	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Montañesa - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.01.25	Montañesa - Manresa	1:2
06.03.21	Manresa - Montañesa	0:0
06.12.20	Montañesa - Manresa	1:2

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