Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Vic		Manresa

	1	X	2
	2.99	2.92	2.45
	2.92	3	2.35
	2.9	3.2	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.93)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vic
31.1%

Draw
30.1%

Manresa
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

26.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vic than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (+4%)

Vic - Manresa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Colomer Pujol M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Quer I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, ⚽,
82', 🟥,
88', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Vic
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	CE Europa B - Vic	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Vic - Grama	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Tona - Vic	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Vic - Lleida	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Vilanova - Vic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLWT
- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Manresa - LHospitalet	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Can Vidalet - Manresa	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	CE Europa B - Manresa	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Manresa - Grama	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Tona - Manresa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLW

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