Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Manresa		Penya Independent

	1	X	2
	1.77	3	4.4
	1.8	3.2	4.75
	1.89	3.15	4.96
	1.78	3.16	5.17
	1.77	3.13	4.6
	1.8	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.59)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	4.73 ↓ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manresa
51.1%

Draw
29.5%

Penya Independent
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

28%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

24.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manresa's form might have worsened.

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Manresa - Penya Independent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Manresa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Penya Independent is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Manresa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manresa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.11.23	Andratx - Manresa	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Manresa - Real Oviedo	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.10.23	Manresa - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Torrent - Manresa	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Manresa - Formentera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLW
- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.11.23	Penya Independent - Atlético Saguntino	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Alzira - Penya Independent	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Penya Independent - Terrassa	1:3 ✺
15.10.23	La Nucía - Penya Independent	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Penya Independent - Hércules	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTLWL

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