Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Manresa		Terrassa

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.74	3.23	2.02
	3.74	3.23	2.02
	3.63	3.29	1.99
	3.6	3.2	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.97)	3.24 ↑ (3)	2 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manresa
25.6%

Draw
28.4%

Terrassa
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

30.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Terrassa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Terrassa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terrassa than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Terrassa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manresa - Terrassa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Perera A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Perera A. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Ouhdadi O. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Manresa is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Manresa won 4.

Manresa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Terrassa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Manresa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Terrassa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Manresa won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Manresa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manresa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.04.24	La Nucía - Manresa	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Manresa - Hércules	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	CE Europa - Manresa	4:0 ✺
31.03.24	Manresa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Penya Independent - Manresa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Terrassa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.04.24	Terrassa - Atlético Saguntino	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Alzira - Terrassa	1:3 ✺
07.04.24	Terrassa - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Terrassa - La Nucía	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Hércules - Terrassa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.12.23	Terrassa - Manresa	2:2
19.02.23	Terrassa - Manresa	1:3
02.10.22	Manresa - Terrassa	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.03.21	Manresa - Terrassa	2:1
10.01.21	Terrassa - Manresa	0:1
21.12.19	Manresa - Terrassa	1:2

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