Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)


	Hércules		Terrassa

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.6
	1.63	3.5	5.5
	1.7	3.47	4.97
	1.71	3.47	4.88
	1.67	3.46	5.23
	1.63	3.55	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.25)	3.48 ↑ (3.28)	5 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
55.2%

Draw
26.4%

Terrassa
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

28.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hércules's performance.

Terrassa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Terrassa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hércules that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Terrassa than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Terrassa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Hércules - Terrassa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hércules will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Buenacasa A. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hércules could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hércules won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
16.03.24	La Nucía - Hércules	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Hércules - Valencia B	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Hércules - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Hércules	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Hércules - Penya Independent	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTTTL
- Terrassa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.03.24	Terrassa - CE Europa	4:1 ✺
10.03.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Terrassa	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Terrassa - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Andratx - Terrassa	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Terrassa - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.11.23	Terrassa - Hércules	2:2
02.04.23	Hércules - Terrassa	2:2
20.11.22	Terrassa - Hércules	3:1

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