Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Manzanares		Villacañas

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.6	1.3
	11	4.9	1.24
	10.68	4.9	1.22
	11.74	4.98	1.25
	12.3	5.3	1.21
	11	4.9	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.87 ↑ (8.11)	4.93 ↑ (4.22)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manzanares
8.4%

Draw
18.5%

Villacañas
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

21.4%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

20.8%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manzanares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Villacañas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villacañas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manzanares than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villacañas than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Manzanares - Villacañas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Manzanares (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Saiz Ramirez G. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).

Manzanares has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villacañas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Villacañas is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Manzanares won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manzanares CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.04.25	Manzanares - Albacete B	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Huracán Balazote - Manzanares	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Manzanares - Marchamalo	0:5 ✺
06.04.25	Cazalegas - Manzanares	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Manzanares - Quintanar del Rey	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLLT
- CD Villacañas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.04.25	Villarrubia - Villacañas	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Villacañas - Albacete B	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Villacañas - Huracán Balazote	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villacañas	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Villacañas - Marchamalo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
21.12.24	Villacañas - Manzanares	1:1

Manzanares - Villacañas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide