Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga BPI Women - Round 17

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo da Imaculada Conceição (Funchal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Marítimo		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.51	4.09	5.6
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	4 ↑ (3.75)	5.43 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
60.5%

Draw
22.8%

Estoril Praia
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

21.3%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+4%)

Marítimo - Estoril Praia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Panis N. (G) 2. Holtz J. 3. Henrichs S. 6. Fernandes P. (C) 14. Abreu C. 4. High S. N. 7. Pereira T. 8. Radosavljevic J. 25. Sisse F. 9. Lewis S. 12. Costa E.	71. Rocha A. (G) 88. Malta M. 11. Pocinho C. 25. Duarte I. 7. Almeida M. 8. Barreiros P. 20. Ferreira I. 21. Brasero-Carreira S. 23. Brasil S. (C) 14. Haakenson M. 28. Rocha A.
Substitutes
20. Costa L. 22. Ferreira C. 21. Ferreira S. 15. Freitas D. 13. Freitas I. 19. Goncalves C. 30. Santos B. (G)	10. Coelho M. 17. Cruz L. 18. Ines Barge Vera Cid 12. Kraemer A. 19. Nogueira B. 16. Oliveira L. 15. Peixeiro I. (G) 9. Perruca L. 70. Rosa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Haakenson M. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Radosavljevic J. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Haakenson M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Almeida M. ↓, Rosa M. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Pereira T. ⚽,
67', Rocha A. ↓, Kraemer A. ↑,
67', Brasero-Carreira S. ↓, Nogueira B. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Costa E. ⚽,
72', Sisse F. ↓, Costa L. ↑,
74', Pocinho C. ↓, Perruca L. ↑,
80', Costa E. ↓, Ferreira C. ↑,
88', Pereira T. ↓, Freitas I. ↑,
88', Abreu C. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
88', Radosavljevic J. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 1.

Recent matches Marítimo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estoril is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Marítimo is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo Women
Taça de Portugal Women
15.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
08.02.25	Marítimo - Benfica	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Damaiense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Valadares Gaia - Marítimo	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Marítimo - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLWLW
- Estoril Praia Women
Taça de Portugal Women
15.02.25	Valadares Gaia - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
07.02.25	Braga - Estoril Praia	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Estoril Praia - Albergaria Durit	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Estoril Praia - Torreense	0:4 ✺
19.01.25	Benfica - Estoril Praia	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga BPI Women
13.10.24	Estoril Praia - Marítimo	0:0
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
08.09.24	Estoril Praia - Marítimo	1:1
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
07.11.21	Marítimo - Estoril Praia	4:0
27.09.20	Estoril Praia - Marítimo	2:1
17.11.19	Estoril Praia - Marítimo	2:0
28.04.19	Marítimo - Estoril Praia	0:1
02.12.18	Estoril Praia - Marítimo	3:1

Marítimo - Estoril Praia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide