The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valadares Gaia 77.8%
Draw 14.7%
Marítimo 7.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.3%
19.5%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.9%
18.3%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valadares Gaia's performance.
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marítimo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valadares Gaia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Valadares Gaia - Marítimo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Seppi E. (G) 9. Bullock K. 7. Ferreira C. 10. Ferreira C. 11. Gestera M. 14. Marashi G. 17. Marques V. 2. Monteiro S. 4. Mulot M. 27. Nave M. 3. Silva J.
1. Rodrigues C. (G) 18. Aguiar B. 30. Contente M. 12. Costa E. 10. Coutinho R. 13. Duda Nascimento 9. Foster M. 2. Holtz J. 5. Hunt J. 8. Riese S. 21. Silva E.
Substitutes
16. Chauvet M. 5. Cruz A. 20. Cruz M. 19. Florentino M. 71. Maia C. 43. Nivea Oliveira 23. O'Meara M. 12. Potra C. (G) 77. Silva I.
14. Abreu C. 20. Alves S. . Bruninha 11. Ferreira S. 15. Freitas D. 6. Nunes C. 7. Oliveira L. 24. Roch L. (G) 17. Silva A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Nave M. ⚽, Bullock K. (A),
44', Duda Nascimento ↓, Freitas D. ↑,
45', 2 - 0, Holtz J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ferreira C. ↓, Schmit C. ↑,
56', 🟨,
64', Nave M. 🟨,
66', Marashi G. ↓, Silva I. ↑,
66', Ferreira C. ↓, Sousa M. ↑,
66', Aguiar B. ↓, Oliveira L. ↑,
66', Contente M. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Gestera M. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 3 - 1, Riese S. ⚽,
88', Coutinho R. ↓, Abreu C. ↑,
90+1', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 6th and 10th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valadares Gaia won 3.
Valadares Gaia has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Marítimo is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Marítimo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Marítimo has had a run of games away from home.
The betting markets point to Valadares Gaia as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Valadares Gaia has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:17 (averaging 1.7:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Valadares Gaia against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 19:8 goals (averaging 2.4:1 per game).
Portugal
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Seppi E. (G) 
Ferreira C. 
Gestera M. 
Marashi G. 
Mulot M. 
Duda Nascimento 
Chauvet M. 
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